Game Week 7 NFL Picks

bears-packers

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers (Live on Sky Sports 1, from 12:30am)

Something is bothering Aaron Rodgers and the Packer offence, but I do expect them to improve at some point, and that could come tonight against the Bears. Chicago lost a close one at home to the Jags last week, and if they struggle to handle Blake Bortles, in theory they should have a nightmare trying to stop Rodgers at Lambeau. I expect the Packers to win this one, but I don't think they'll run away with it.

Main Tip

Jordy Nelson anytime TD @ 5/6

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Sundays 6pm Games

giants-vs-rams-london

New York Giants vs L.A Rams @ Twickenham (Live on BBC 2, from 2pm)

This could actually be one of the better games of the weekend. Despite all of their off-season additions to their defence, the Giants rank dead last in takeaways & sacks, and if the Rams can get through with game without turning the ball over I think the Giants will struggle. Going in favour of the Giants, the Rams secondary isn't the best, which could mean a big day for Odell Beckham, Shepard & Cruz. If I had to pick a winner I think the Giants will just about edge it.

buffalo-bills-miami-dolphins

Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins (Live on Sky Sports 2, from 5.30pm)

Somehow the Dolphins knocked off the Steelers last week, and they'll have another tough test in a divisional matchup this week. The Bills are as hot as any team in the league at the moment, Lesean McCoy has been running riot, and their defence has definitely improved as well. With McCoy having a 25% chance of playing this week, it certainly harms the Bills chances, but I still like them to win this game.

Baltimore Ravens @ New York Jets

Geno Smith is now the starter for the Jets, and although that's what all the media/fans in New York wanted, they'll probably be the same people booing him in by the 3rd quarter. I would like to see Geno Smith do well, but he's prone to making stupid mistakes, and I think the Ravens will take full advantage of that on sunday. Ravens win but it'll be close.

Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals have been underwhelming on both sides of the ball this year, but I think their offence is struggling without Eifert in there at TE, and he could be making his return in this one. The Browns are still yet to win a game, and while I think the Bengals will make winning this game a lot tougher than it should be, I still can't see a scenario where the Browns get the win.

Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans

The Colts completely collapsed against the Texans the other night, and at this point of the season I think the Titans are the team to beat in the division. Demarco Murray has quietly been having a great season, and the Colts can't stop anyone from running the ball. Andrew Luck may be able to keep the Colts in it, but if they get behind, they'll be in trouble. Titans win.

Minnesota Vikings @ Philadelphia Eagles

Since coming out of their bye week the Eagles haven't been the same team, and the Vikings are coming into this game off their bye week, still undefeated. If the Eagles offensive line had trouble protecting Wentz against the Redskins, the Vikings will be all over him on Sunday. The Vikings offence is actually among the worst in the league, but they don't turn the ball over and play good defence. I think this will be a one score game, and call me biased but I think the Eagles steal this one.

New Orleans Saints @ Kansas City Chiefs

If you play Fantasy Football, if you have any of the running backs for the Chiefs, play them this week. Drew Brees always struggles on the road, and unless he can get some big plays from Cooks or Willie Snead, I see this one getting ugly. The Chiefs should be able to run all over the Saints defence, and I think they'll win convincingly.

Oakland Raiders @ Jacksonville Jaguars

The Raiders are my value bet of the week this week. They got hammered last week, but the Chiefs played extremely well. The Jags struggled to get past the Bears, only winning by a point. The Jags will put Jalen Ramsey on Amari Cooper for the game which will be a good matchup to watch, and if Bortles can avoid stupid turnovers this could actually be a close game. In all honesty I think the Raiders will stuff the Jags though, they're the much better team.

Washington Redskins @ Detroit Lions

This is another underrated matchup for week 7. Both teams are trending in the right direction, and this should be a fun game to watch. The Lions can't catch a break at running back with Riddick now being hurt, to add to their starter already being on season ending IR. I like the Redskins to win this one, providing Cousins can take care of the ball.

Sunday's 9:05pm / 9:25pm Games

Patriots @ Steelers

New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers (Live on SS2, from 9.15pm)

This was set to be the biggest match of the year so far until Roethlisberger got hurt last week. If Big Ben was healthy, i'd have picked the Steelers at home, but without him I think the Patriots will take care of them quite easily. Antonio Brown is typically a non-factor when Ben isn't playing, and I think the Patriots won't have much trouble scoring on an injury-plagued Steelers defence. Patriots by at least a touchdown.

San Diego Chargers @ Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons got robbed in Seattle last week, but despite losing, their offence continues to prove itself, even against the Seahawks. The Chargers should be able to move the ball and put up plenty of points in this game, but the Falcons will also be flying up & down the field. This game has shootout written all over it, and I really hope it is. I like Atlanta to win in a close one though.

Tampa Bay Bucs @ San Francisco 49ers

Kaepernick looked better than Gabbert on Sunday, and I still don't understand how he wasn't the 49ers starter in the first place. Anyway, The Bucs will have no problem putting up points in this game, as the Niners defence is basically irrelevant since Navarro Bowman got hurt again. Kaepernick will probably be able to make some plays with his legs, but I think the Bucs should win this one comfortably.

Sunday's Night Football 1.30am

seahawks-cardinals

Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals (Live on SS2, from 1.15am)

At last, a prime time game that should actually be watchable. Russell Wilson still isn't 100% since his ankle/knee got dinged up a few weeks back, but i'd take a half healthy Wilson over Carson Palmer any day of the week. David Johnson has been crushing it this year, and he'll need to continue doing so if the Cardinals want to win this one. I like the Seahawks to win this one on the road.

RECOMMENDED BETS

Bet 1

Buffalo Bills to win moneyline @ 5/7

Oakland Raiders to win moneyline @ Evens

£15 returns £51.42 with Bet365

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Bet 2

New England Patriots to win -6.5 points (alternative spread) @ 20/21

Tampa Bay Bucs to win moneyline @ 20/23

£15 returns £50.40 with Bet365

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Longshot

Cincinnati Bengals to win -5.5 points (alternative handicap) @ 4/9

Tennessee Titans to win -2.5 points (alternative handicap) @ 20/29

Oakland Raiders to win -2.5 points (alternative handicap) @ 5/4

Kansas City Chiefs to win moneyline @ 20/49

Washington Redskins to win moneyline @ Evens

San Diego Chargers to win +10.5 points (alternative handicap) @ 1/2

New England Patriots to win moneyline @ 20/63

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals Under 53.5 points (alternative total) @ 1/4

£5 returns £186.75 with Bet365

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Monday Night Games 12:10am / 3:20am

Texans @ Broncos

Houston Texans @ Denver Broncos (Live on SS1, from 1.15am)

The Colts somehow gave the Texans the win last week, but I can't see the Broncos being as generous. Brock Osweiler has been less than convincing this year, and who better to make his season worse than his old team? I'll be shocked if the Texans can score more than 15/16 points. They should be able to run the ball quite well, but anytime they look to pass, expect that Denver pass rush all over him. Broncos should win comfortably.

Tip 1

Denver Broncos - Denver Broncos (Double Result) @ 7/10

£10 returns £17 with Bet365

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Tip 2

Houston Texans Team Total under 14.5 points @ 5/6

£10 returns £18.33 with Bet365

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